Official NOAA observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum temperature falling squarely in the 84-85°F range on August 29, 2026, producing the market's unanimous 100% implied probability. A marine layer and strengthened onshore flow moderated coastal conditions following several days of intense heat that pushed downtown Los Angeles to 96°F, preventing the stronger warming that would have shifted readings into higher bins. Ensemble forecasts and point guidance from the National Weather Service aligned closely on this outcome, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables. While post-publication revisions remain theoretically possible before the next day's data release, historical precedent and the station's automated instrumentation make meaningful changes highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
84-85°F 100.0%
$42,359 Обс.
$42,359 Обс.
84-85°F
100%
84-85°F 100.0%
$42,359 Обс.
$42,359 Обс.
84-85°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA observations at the Los Angeles International Airport station recorded a daily maximum temperature falling squarely in the 84-85°F range on August 29, 2026, producing the market's unanimous 100% implied probability. A marine layer and strengthened onshore flow moderated coastal conditions following several days of intense heat that pushed downtown Los Angeles to 96°F, preventing the stronger warming that would have shifted readings into higher bins. Ensemble forecasts and point guidance from the National Weather Service aligned closely on this outcome, with sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing as the key variables. While post-publication revisions remain theoretically possible before the next day's data release, historical precedent and the station's automated instrumentation make meaningful changes highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання