Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus for Dallas indicates overnight lows near 80–83 °F on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under a strong subtropical ridge. This setup keeps surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.7 °F, with little evidence of an approaching cold front or enhanced mixing that could produce sharper drops into the mid-70s. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 80–83 °F bins because short-range model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer conditions, while longer-range uncertainty and potential minor timing shifts in any weak disturbance keep lower-probability tails active. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model cycles through August 31 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Dallas on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 1?
90°F or higher 53%
88-89°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
84-85°F 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
71°F or below
12%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
50%
90°F or higher
53%
90°F or higher 53%
88-89°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
84-85°F 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Обс.
12%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
14%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
48%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
37%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
49%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
49%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
50%
90°F or higher
$0 Обс.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus for Dallas indicates overnight lows near 80–83 °F on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under a strong subtropical ridge. This setup keeps surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.7 °F, with little evidence of an approaching cold front or enhanced mixing that could produce sharper drops into the mid-70s. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 80–83 °F bins because short-range model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer conditions, while longer-range uncertainty and potential minor timing shifts in any weak disturbance keep lower-probability tails active. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model cycles through August 31 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus for Dallas indicates overnight lows near 80–83 °F on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under a strong subtropical ridge. This setup keeps surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.7 °F, with little evidence of an approaching cold front or enhanced mixing that could produce sharper drops into the mid-70s. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 80–83 °F bins because short-range model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer conditions, while longer-range uncertainty and potential minor timing shifts in any weak disturbance keep lower-probability tails active. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model cycles through August 31 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model consensus for Dallas indicates overnight lows near 80–83 °F on September 1, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points, and minimal cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under a strong subtropical ridge. This setup keeps surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 74.7 °F, with little evidence of an approaching cold front or enhanced mixing that could produce sharper drops into the mid-70s. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 80–83 °F bins because short-range model runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer conditions, while longer-range uncertainty and potential minor timing shifts in any weak disturbance keep lower-probability tails active. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model cycles through August 31 will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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