Recent National Weather Service forecasts and a building heat dome have positioned Chicago for highs near 90–93°F on September 1, driving the 90–91°F bin to a 42.5% market share. Southwest flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight storm chance support hot, humid conditions that feel more like mid-July than early September. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this range, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins capturing the next-highest probabilities at 26% and 20.5%. Updated model runs and any shift in steering winds or moisture could quickly adjust these implied odds ahead of the holiday weekend.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 1?
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
17%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
88-89°F 26%
92-93°F 21%
86-87°F 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
19%
88-89°F
$26 Обс.
26%
90-91°F
$73 Обс.
43%
92-93°F
$129 Обс.
21%
94-95°F
$13 Обс.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
17%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
100°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and a building heat dome have positioned Chicago for highs near 90–93°F on September 1, driving the 90–91°F bin to a 42.5% market share. Southwest flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight storm chance support hot, humid conditions that feel more like mid-July than early September. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this range, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins capturing the next-highest probabilities at 26% and 20.5%. Updated model runs and any shift in steering winds or moisture could quickly adjust these implied odds ahead of the holiday weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$242Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and a building heat dome have positioned Chicago for highs near 90–93°F on September 1, driving the 90–91°F bin to a 42.5% market share. Southwest flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight storm chance support hot, humid conditions that feel more like mid-July than early September. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this range, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins capturing the next-highest probabilities at 26% and 20.5%. Updated model runs and any shift in steering winds or moisture could quickly adjust these implied odds ahead of the holiday weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$242Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and a building heat dome have positioned Chicago for highs near 90–93°F on September 1, driving the 90–91°F bin to a 42.5% market share. Southwest flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight storm chance support hot, humid conditions that feel more like mid-July than early September. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around this range, with 88–89°F and 92–93°F bins capturing the next-highest probabilities at 26% and 20.5%. Updated model runs and any shift in steering winds or moisture could quickly adjust these implied odds ahead of the holiday weekend.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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