Persistent cloud cover, widespread morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Chicago on August 30, keeping official highs near the 82–85°F range favored by traders. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, combined with high humidity and 80% precipitation chances, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts of lower-to-mid 80s. This setup sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81°F but well below recent hot spells, producing closely matched probabilities between the two leading bins as models show only modest sensitivity to exact storm timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 8%
$22,023 Обс.
$22,023 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 14%
86-87°F 8%
$22,023 Обс.
$22,023 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$1,573 Обс.
3%
78-79°F
$1,101 Обс.
5%
80-81°F
$2,105 Обс.
14%
82-83°F
$3,587 Обс.
37%
84-85°F
$3,378 Обс.
39%
86-87°F
$4,810 Обс.
8%
88-89°F
$2,996 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$1,662 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$132 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$328 Обс.
<1%
96°F or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Chicago on August 30, keeping official highs near the 82–85°F range favored by traders. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, combined with high humidity and 80% precipitation chances, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts of lower-to-mid 80s. This setup sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81°F but well below recent hot spells, producing closely matched probabilities between the two leading bins as models show only modest sensitivity to exact storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,023Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Chicago on August 30, keeping official highs near the 82–85°F range favored by traders. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, combined with high humidity and 80% precipitation chances, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts of lower-to-mid 80s. This setup sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81°F but well below recent hot spells, producing closely matched probabilities between the two leading bins as models show only modest sensitivity to exact storm timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,023Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread morning showers, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Chicago on August 30, keeping official highs near the 82–85°F range favored by traders. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 30 mph, combined with high humidity and 80% precipitation chances, limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts of lower-to-mid 80s. This setup sits slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 81°F but well below recent hot spells, producing closely matched probabilities between the two leading bins as models show only modest sensitivity to exact storm timing and intensity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання