Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 17-18°C rather than the 12.5°C historical average for late August. Multiple forecast models from sources such as the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF converge on lows of 15-18°C overnight into August 31, with dew points remaining elevated around 15°C and only modest clearing expected. This setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 18°C (75%) and 17°C (46%) outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing evening temperatures holding above 17°C amid ongoing light rain and showers. Cooler results below 16°C remain possible only with faster clearing than currently projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
$775 Обс.
$775 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
41%
14°C
17%
15°C
8%
16°C
20%
17°C
48%
18°C
44%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 41%
16°C 20%
14°C 17%
15°C 8%
$775 Обс.
$775 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$15 Обс.
41%
14°C
$37 Обс.
17%
15°C
$81 Обс.
8%
16°C
$50 Обс.
20%
17°C
$5 Обс.
48%
18°C
$2 Обс.
44%
19°C
$344 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$70 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$55 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 17-18°C rather than the 12.5°C historical average for late August. Multiple forecast models from sources such as the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF converge on lows of 15-18°C overnight into August 31, with dew points remaining elevated around 15°C and only modest clearing expected. This setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 18°C (75%) and 17°C (46%) outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing evening temperatures holding above 17°C amid ongoing light rain and showers. Cooler results below 16°C remain possible only with faster clearing than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$775Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 17-18°C rather than the 12.5°C historical average for late August. Multiple forecast models from sources such as the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF converge on lows of 15-18°C overnight into August 31, with dew points remaining elevated around 15°C and only modest clearing expected. This setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 18°C (75%) and 17°C (46%) outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing evening temperatures holding above 17°C amid ongoing light rain and showers. Cooler results below 16°C remain possible only with faster clearing than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$775Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing frontal system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam, supporting minimum temperatures near 17-18°C rather than the 12.5°C historical average for late August. Multiple forecast models from sources such as the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF converge on lows of 15-18°C overnight into August 31, with dew points remaining elevated around 15°C and only modest clearing expected. This setup explains the strong market-implied odds favoring 18°C (75%) and 17°C (46%) outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest observational data showing evening temperatures holding above 17°C amid ongoing light rain and showers. Cooler results below 16°C remain possible only with faster clearing than currently projected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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