Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
21°C 96%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$37,755 Обс.
$37,755 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
96%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96%
22°C 2%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
$37,755 Обс.
$37,755 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$1,177 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$952 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,352 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$7,965 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$9,843 Обс.
96%
22°C
$7,792 Обс.
2%
23°C
$5,284 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$760 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$396 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,755Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,755Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting model guidance from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s daytime maximum at 21°C on August 30 under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle and moderate southwest winds. These conditions reflect a stable maritime air mass that limits diurnal warming, keeping afternoon readings near the seasonal late-August average of roughly 20°C. The market’s overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 21°C aligns with this consensus and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range European forecasts. Only a sharp, unexpected clearing or localized warm advection could push readings to 22°C or higher, while persistent heavier rain would more likely cap the peak below the threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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