Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a sunny Tuesday with a daytime high of 28°C for Toronto on August 4, positioning the 27–28°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Mild northwest flow and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or convective cooling, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak lower. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on maximum values, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge readings by 1°C either side of the consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the peak afternoon window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 4?
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
52%
28°C
28%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
26°C 15%
29°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
21°C or below
$292 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$337 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$684 Обс.
1%
24°C
$756 Обс.
1%
25°C
$1,025 Обс.
1%
26°C
$824 Обс.
15%
27°C
$3,290 Обс.
52%
28°C
$713 Обс.
28%
29°C
$414 Обс.
4%
30°C
$552 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$488 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a sunny Tuesday with a daytime high of 28°C for Toronto on August 4, positioning the 27–28°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Mild northwest flow and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or convective cooling, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak lower. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on maximum values, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge readings by 1°C either side of the consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the peak afternoon window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,375Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a sunny Tuesday with a daytime high of 28°C for Toronto on August 4, positioning the 27–28°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Mild northwest flow and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or convective cooling, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak lower. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on maximum values, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge readings by 1°C either side of the consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the peak afternoon window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,375Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a sunny Tuesday with a daytime high of 28°C for Toronto on August 4, positioning the 27–28°C outcomes as market leaders at combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Mild northwest flow and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or convective cooling, keeping temperatures near seasonal normals without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could shift the peak lower. Recent model consensus shows little divergence on maximum values, though minor adjustments in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat island effects could nudge readings by 1°C either side of the consensus. Updated guidance ahead of the peak afternoon window remains the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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