Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a Shanghai high near 31–32°C on August 19, driven by moderate southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 70–80% that limit radiative heating. Urban heat island effects and sea-breeze moderation introduce small uncertainties in peak readings, while ensemble spreads reflect minor variations in timing of any isolated showers. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders weigh these localized variables against historical August averages near 32°C and the absence of strong synoptic forcing that could push temperatures higher or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
31°C 46%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 6%
$11,661 Обс.
$11,661 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
33%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 33%
30°C 16%
33°C 6%
$11,661 Обс.
$11,661 Обс.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
33%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models indicates a Shanghai high near 31–32°C on August 19, driven by moderate southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity levels around 70–80% that limit radiative heating. Urban heat island effects and sea-breeze moderation introduce small uncertainties in peak readings, while ensemble spreads reflect minor variations in timing of any isolated showers. With outcomes clustered tightly, traders weigh these localized variables against historical August averages near 32°C and the absence of strong synoptic forcing that could push temperatures higher or lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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