Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C as the most probable maximum in Karachi on August 19, reflecting the city’s mid-August climatological average of 31–32°C under southwest monsoon influence. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limit daytime heating, while Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and recent global model runs indicate no strong departures from normal conditions. Observed temperatures over the prior week have hovered near 30–33°C with similar moisture patterns suppressing extremes. The secondary 33°C outcome captures modest upside risk from any temporary clearing, whereas probabilities below 31°C or above 34°C remain low given the prevailing regime and historical rarity of outliers during this period. Short-range forecast updates from PMD and international models will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution based on official city readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 19?
32°C 61%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
35°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
61%
33°C
25%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
35°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$137 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$217 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$591 Обс.
1%
30°C
$565 Обс.
2%
31°C
$531 Обс.
15%
32°C
$2,865 Обс.
61%
33°C
$719 Обс.
25%
34°C
$349 Обс.
2%
35°C
$5 Обс.
2%
36°C
$282 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$126 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C as the most probable maximum in Karachi on August 19, reflecting the city’s mid-August climatological average of 31–32°C under southwest monsoon influence. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limit daytime heating, while Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and recent global model runs indicate no strong departures from normal conditions. Observed temperatures over the prior week have hovered near 30–33°C with similar moisture patterns suppressing extremes. The secondary 33°C outcome captures modest upside risk from any temporary clearing, whereas probabilities below 31°C or above 34°C remain low given the prevailing regime and historical rarity of outliers during this period. Short-range forecast updates from PMD and international models will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution based on official city readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,386Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C as the most probable maximum in Karachi on August 19, reflecting the city’s mid-August climatological average of 31–32°C under southwest monsoon influence. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limit daytime heating, while Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and recent global model runs indicate no strong departures from normal conditions. Observed temperatures over the prior week have hovered near 30–33°C with similar moisture patterns suppressing extremes. The secondary 33°C outcome captures modest upside risk from any temporary clearing, whereas probabilities below 31°C or above 34°C remain low given the prevailing regime and historical rarity of outliers during this period. Short-range forecast updates from PMD and international models will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution based on official city readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,386Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 32°C as the most probable maximum in Karachi on August 19, reflecting the city’s mid-August climatological average of 31–32°C under southwest monsoon influence. Persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and moderating southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea limit daytime heating, while Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and recent global model runs indicate no strong departures from normal conditions. Observed temperatures over the prior week have hovered near 30–33°C with similar moisture patterns suppressing extremes. The secondary 33°C outcome captures modest upside risk from any temporary clearing, whereas probabilities below 31°C or above 34°C remain low given the prevailing regime and historical rarity of outliers during this period. Short-range forecast updates from PMD and international models will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution based on official city readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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