The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 32°C absolute daily maximum on August 17, 2026, at its headquarters underpins the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from the primary reference station. This aligns with typical August conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon patterns, where daily maxima often cluster near 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus treats the finalized Daily Extract as definitive, minimizing revision risk. Only an extremely rare post-publication correction to the HKO dataset or reinterpretation of the exact measurement protocol could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are negligible for this metric.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,423 Обс.
$168,423 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,423 Обс.
$168,423 Обс.
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$596 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,423 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$5,546 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$34,575 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$33,401 Обс.
100%
33°C
$40,888 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$23,442 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$19,538 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$6,483 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$783 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$748 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 32°C absolute daily maximum on August 17, 2026, at its headquarters underpins the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from the primary reference station. This aligns with typical August conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon patterns, where daily maxima often cluster near 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus treats the finalized Daily Extract as definitive, minimizing revision risk. Only an extremely rare post-publication correction to the HKO dataset or reinterpretation of the exact measurement protocol could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are negligible for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$168,423Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 32°C absolute daily maximum on August 17, 2026, at its headquarters underpins the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from the primary reference station. This aligns with typical August conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon patterns, where daily maxima often cluster near 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus treats the finalized Daily Extract as definitive, minimizing revision risk. Only an extremely rare post-publication correction to the HKO dataset or reinterpretation of the exact measurement protocol could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are negligible for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$168,423Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 32°C absolute daily maximum on August 17, 2026, at its headquarters underpins the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting verified observational data from the primary reference station. This aligns with typical August conditions influenced by subtropical high pressure and monsoon patterns, where daily maxima often cluster near 31–33°C amid high humidity. Trader consensus treats the finalized Daily Extract as definitive, minimizing revision risk. Only an extremely rare post-publication correction to the HKO dataset or reinterpretation of the exact measurement protocol could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are negligible for this metric.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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