Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of 22–23 °C. Operational guidance from AccuWeather and similar models aligns with a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies and possible morning showers. With leading market probabilities tightly grouped around these values, traders are reflecting model consensus on the precise timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus precipitation, which will determine whether the daily maximum settles at 18 °C, 19 °C, or 20 °C. Final official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 18?
19°C 32.6%
18°C 29.4%
20°C 22%
21°C 9%
$87,993 Обс.
$87,993 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
29%
19°C
33%
20°C
22%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 32.6%
18°C 29.4%
20°C 22%
21°C 9%
$87,993 Обс.
$87,993 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
29%
19°C
33%
20°C
22%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C. Strengthening westerly flow advects cooler maritime air, while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers reduce solar insolation and suppress daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of 22–23 °C. Operational guidance from AccuWeather and similar models aligns with a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies and possible morning showers. With leading market probabilities tightly grouped around these values, traders are reflecting model consensus on the precise timing and coverage of cloud breaks versus precipitation, which will determine whether the daily maximum settles at 18 °C, 19 °C, or 20 °C. Final official observations from DWD stations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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