Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
27°C 60%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
33%
27°C
60%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 60%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
$535 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$44 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$49 Обс.
1%
25°C
$86 Обс.
5%
26°C
$706 Обс.
33%
27°C
$752 Обс.
60%
28°C
$237 Обс.
6%
29°C
$276 Обс.
2%
30°C
$62 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$311 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,184Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,184Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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