Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 19 points to a high near 87–91 °F, with afternoon heating tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of thunderstorms tied to monsoon moisture. These conditions explain why the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins dominate market-implied odds at roughly 84 % combined. Early-August heat that produced a 102 °F record on the 3rd has given way to a cooling pattern, while typical late-August climatology (normal high ~87 °F) and the moderating effect of scattered convection further anchor expectations in the upper 80s to low 90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 19?
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 36%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
46%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
3%
88-89°F 46%
90-91°F 36%
86-87°F 9%
92-93°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$5 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$5 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$9 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$2 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$2 Обс.
9%
88-89°F
$23 Обс.
46%
90-91°F
$25 Обс.
36%
92-93°F
$48 Обс.
8%
94-95°F
$30 Обс.
3%
96°F or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 19 points to a high near 87–91 °F, with afternoon heating tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of thunderstorms tied to monsoon moisture. These conditions explain why the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins dominate market-implied odds at roughly 84 % combined. Early-August heat that produced a 102 °F record on the 3rd has given way to a cooling pattern, while typical late-August climatology (normal high ~87 °F) and the moderating effect of scattered convection further anchor expectations in the upper 80s to low 90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 19 points to a high near 87–91 °F, with afternoon heating tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of thunderstorms tied to monsoon moisture. These conditions explain why the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins dominate market-implied odds at roughly 84 % combined. Early-August heat that produced a 102 °F record on the 3rd has given way to a cooling pattern, while typical late-August climatology (normal high ~87 °F) and the moderating effect of scattered convection further anchor expectations in the upper 80s to low 90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Denver on August 19 points to a high near 87–91 °F, with afternoon heating tempered by increasing cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of thunderstorms tied to monsoon moisture. These conditions explain why the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins dominate market-implied odds at roughly 84 % combined. Early-August heat that produced a 102 °F record on the 3rd has given way to a cooling pattern, while typical late-August climatology (normal high ~87 °F) and the moderating effect of scattered convection further anchor expectations in the upper 80s to low 90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next-day model runs will be the key near-term drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання