Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C, aligning with the 96% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C. Mid-August climatology in this subtropical region features persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows typically stabilizing in that narrow band due to high moisture content and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery patterns. Model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles supports this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential forecast revisions from updated model runs if unexpected convective activity intensifies or measurement site variations occur at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
26°C 96%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$13,806 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,806 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
96%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
НОВЕ
$13,806 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,806 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$462 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$462 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$331 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$211 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$385 Обс.
2%
25°C
$2,637 Обс.
3%
26°C
$2,962 Обс.
96%
27°C
$3,971 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,641 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$418 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$326 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C, aligning with the 96% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C. Mid-August climatology in this subtropical region features persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows typically stabilizing in that narrow band due to high moisture content and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery patterns. Model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles supports this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential forecast revisions from updated model runs if unexpected convective activity intensifies or measurement site variations occur at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,806Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C, aligning with the 96% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C. Mid-August climatology in this subtropical region features persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows typically stabilizing in that narrow band due to high moisture content and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery patterns. Model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles supports this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential forecast revisions from updated model runs if unexpected convective activity intensifies or measurement site variations occur at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,806Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 25–26°C, aligning with the 96% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C. Mid-August climatology in this subtropical region features persistent warm, humid conditions with overnight lows typically stabilizing in that narrow band due to high moisture content and limited diurnal cooling under cloudy or showery patterns. Model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles supports this outcome, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter temperatures. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential forecast revisions from updated model runs if unexpected convective activity intensifies or measurement site variations occur at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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