**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Brazilian meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C for São Paulo on August 5, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28°C (41%), 27°C (28%), and 29°C (18.5%).** August marks the heart of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season in the region, when average highs typically range from 23–25°C under the influence of subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and rainfall. Current model consensus shows a temporary warming trend, with reduced cold-air incursions and clearer skies allowing greater solar heating; this has lifted projected maxima 3–5°C above climatological norms. Urban heat-island effects in the São Paulo metropolitan area can add 1–2°C to official station readings, further supporting the 28°C cluster. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest short-range model runs and INMET guidance, which show stable high-pressure dominance through the period with low precipitation risk. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary INMET or airport station, where even small forecast adjustments or localized cloud cover could shift the outcome between the tightly bunched 27–29°C probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
28°C 41%
27°C 28%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
28%
28°C
41%
29°C
19%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 28%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$32 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$108 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$34 Обс.
1%
25°C
$41 Обс.
2%
26°C
$100 Обс.
9%
27°C
$98 Обс.
28%
28°C
$235 Обс.
41%
29°C
$33 Обс.
19%
30°C
$22 Обс.
6%
31°C
$29 Обс.
3%
32°C or higher
$29 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Brazilian meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C for São Paulo on August 5, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28°C (41%), 27°C (28%), and 29°C (18.5%).**
August marks the heart of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season in the region, when average highs typically range from 23–25°C under the influence of subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and rainfall. Current model consensus shows a temporary warming trend, with reduced cold-air incursions and clearer skies allowing greater solar heating; this has lifted projected maxima 3–5°C above climatological norms. Urban heat-island effects in the São Paulo metropolitan area can add 1–2°C to official station readings, further supporting the 28°C cluster.
Traders appear to be pricing in the latest short-range model runs and INMET guidance, which show stable high-pressure dominance through the period with low precipitation risk. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary INMET or airport station, where even small forecast adjustments or localized cloud cover could shift the outcome between the tightly bunched 27–29°C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$760Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Brazilian meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C for São Paulo on August 5, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28°C (41%), 27°C (28%), and 29°C (18.5%).**
August marks the heart of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season in the region, when average highs typically range from 23–25°C under the influence of subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and rainfall. Current model consensus shows a temporary warming trend, with reduced cold-air incursions and clearer skies allowing greater solar heating; this has lifted projected maxima 3–5°C above climatological norms. Urban heat-island effects in the São Paulo metropolitan area can add 1–2°C to official station readings, further supporting the 28°C cluster.
Traders appear to be pricing in the latest short-range model runs and INMET guidance, which show stable high-pressure dominance through the period with low precipitation risk. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary INMET or airport station, where even small forecast adjustments or localized cloud cover could shift the outcome between the tightly bunched 27–29°C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$760Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Brazilian meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C for São Paulo on August 5, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 28°C (41%), 27°C (28%), and 29°C (18.5%).** August marks the heart of the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season in the region, when average highs typically range from 23–25°C under the influence of subtropical high-pressure systems that suppress cloud cover and rainfall. Current model consensus shows a temporary warming trend, with reduced cold-air incursions and clearer skies allowing greater solar heating; this has lifted projected maxima 3–5°C above climatological norms. Urban heat-island effects in the São Paulo metropolitan area can add 1–2°C to official station readings, further supporting the 28°C cluster. Traders appear to be pricing in the latest short-range model runs and INMET guidance, which show stable high-pressure dominance through the period with low precipitation risk. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at the primary INMET or airport station, where even small forecast adjustments or localized cloud cover could shift the outcome between the tightly bunched 27–29°C probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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