Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
22°C 45%
23°C 45%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,486 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,486 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
45%
23°C
45%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 45%
24°C 6%
21°C 5%
НОВЕ
$12,486 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,486 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$665 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,612 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$892 Обс.
2%
21°C
$1,273 Обс.
5%
22°C
$1,952 Обс.
45%
23°C
$1,449 Обс.
45%
24°C
$1,735 Обс.
6%
25°C
$866 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$521 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,236 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,486Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,486Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on a Moscow high near 22–23°C for August 18 under typical late-summer synoptic conditions. Modest solar insolation, light variable winds, and patchy cloud cover are expected to limit stronger daytime heating, keeping temperatures within the historical 20–24°C climatological range for the date. The near-even split in trader probabilities between 22°C and 23°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, driven by minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and any weak frontal influences that could add or subtract 1°C. Lower odds on 24°C or higher underscore model consensus against significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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