Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, supported by stable mid-August synoptic conditions, light winds, and routine sea-breeze moderation that caps inland warming. This consensus, modestly above the long-term August average high near 30°C, underpins the market’s concentration on 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous subsidence or heat dome indicated, while humidity and overnight recovery stay within climatological norms. Updated model runs and official observations represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 65%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
$13,421 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,421 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
65%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 65%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
НОВЕ
$13,421 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,421 Обс.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,442 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$576 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,210 Обс.
2%
31°C
$2,355 Обс.
33%
32°C
$3,350 Обс.
65%
33°C
$1,186 Обс.
3%
34°C
$939 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,185 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$311 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$326 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, supported by stable mid-August synoptic conditions, light winds, and routine sea-breeze moderation that caps inland warming. This consensus, modestly above the long-term August average high near 30°C, underpins the market’s concentration on 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous subsidence or heat dome indicated, while humidity and overnight recovery stay within climatological norms. Updated model runs and official observations represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,421Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, supported by stable mid-August synoptic conditions, light winds, and routine sea-breeze moderation that caps inland warming. This consensus, modestly above the long-term August average high near 30°C, underpins the market’s concentration on 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous subsidence or heat dome indicated, while humidity and overnight recovery stay within climatological norms. Updated model runs and official observations represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,421Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18, supported by stable mid-August synoptic conditions, light winds, and routine sea-breeze moderation that caps inland warming. This consensus, modestly above the long-term August average high near 30°C, underpins the market’s concentration on 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous subsidence or heat dome indicated, while humidity and overnight recovery stay within climatological norms. Updated model runs and official observations represent the primary near-term catalysts that could refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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