Recent PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila points to a 32–33°C daily maximum on August 2 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area. These conditions introduce substantial uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C. Enhanced moisture and convective cloud cover typically suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky climatology, while light steering winds limit advection of hotter air from inland areas. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next 24-hour bulletin will likely determine whether traders shift further toward the lower or upper side of this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 2?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 2?
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
37%
32°C
39%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
30°C 14%
33°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
26°C or below
$41 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$56 Обс.
1%
29°C
$245 Обс.
4%
30°C
$94 Обс.
14%
31°C
$127 Обс.
37%
32°C
$1,169 Обс.
39%
33°C
$365 Обс.
10%
34°C
$235 Обс.
3%
35°C
$890 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila points to a 32–33°C daily maximum on August 2 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area. These conditions introduce substantial uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C. Enhanced moisture and convective cloud cover typically suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky climatology, while light steering winds limit advection of hotter air from inland areas. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next 24-hour bulletin will likely determine whether traders shift further toward the lower or upper side of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,267Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila points to a 32–33°C daily maximum on August 2 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area. These conditions introduce substantial uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C. Enhanced moisture and convective cloud cover typically suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky climatology, while light steering winds limit advection of hotter air from inland areas. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next 24-hour bulletin will likely determine whether traders shift further toward the lower or upper side of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,267Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila points to a 32–33°C daily maximum on August 2 amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by the southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area. These conditions introduce substantial uncertainty in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing, producing the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C. Enhanced moisture and convective cloud cover typically suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky climatology, while light steering winds limit advection of hotter air from inland areas. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s next 24-hour bulletin will likely determine whether traders shift further toward the lower or upper side of this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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