Official forecasts from Spain’s Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) and supporting models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum of 32–33 °C on 30 August 2026 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations of sunny conditions and low humidity, underpins the market’s 92 % implied probability for 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 30–32 °C further support the positioning. A modest shift in steering flow or unexpected afternoon convection could trim the peak below 33 °C, while an unforecast warm advection episode might briefly push readings to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and converging model guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 99.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$27,573 Обс.
$27,573 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.3%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$27,573 Обс.
$27,573 Обс.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$292 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$500 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,079 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$7,400 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$6,464 Обс.
99%
34°C
$6,913 Обс.
1%
35°C
$1,815 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$494 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,062 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) and supporting models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum of 32–33 °C on 30 August 2026 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations of sunny conditions and low humidity, underpins the market’s 92 % implied probability for 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 30–32 °C further support the positioning. A modest shift in steering flow or unexpected afternoon convection could trim the peak below 33 °C, while an unforecast warm advection episode might briefly push readings to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and converging model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,573Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) and supporting models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum of 32–33 °C on 30 August 2026 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations of sunny conditions and low humidity, underpins the market’s 92 % implied probability for 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 30–32 °C further support the positioning. A modest shift in steering flow or unexpected afternoon convection could trim the peak below 33 °C, while an unforecast warm advection episode might briefly push readings to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and converging model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,573Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) and supporting models show Madrid reaching a daily maximum of 32–33 °C on 30 August 2026 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations of sunny conditions and low humidity, underpins the market’s 92 % implied probability for 33 °C. Historical late-August baselines near 30–32 °C further support the positioning. A modest shift in steering flow or unexpected afternoon convection could trim the peak below 33 °C, while an unforecast warm advection episode might briefly push readings to 34 °C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and converging model guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання