Consistent forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources converge on a daytime maximum of 30°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by typical late-monsoon southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and moderating influence from the Arabian Sea that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for coastal Sindh shows August highs rarely exceed this range under similar wind and humidity patterns, with official observations aligning closely to numerical weather prediction outputs. The market’s 96% implied probability for 30°C reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends. Minor deviations remain possible from localized sea-breeze timing, brief clearing, or station-specific measurement protocols, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$23,624 Обс.
$23,624 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$23,624 Обс.
$23,624 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Consistent forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources converge on a daytime maximum of 30°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by typical late-monsoon southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and moderating influence from the Arabian Sea that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for coastal Sindh shows August highs rarely exceed this range under similar wind and humidity patterns, with official observations aligning closely to numerical weather prediction outputs. The market’s 96% implied probability for 30°C reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends. Minor deviations remain possible from localized sea-breeze timing, brief clearing, or station-specific measurement protocols, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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