Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Houston on September 2 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F under humid conditions. Increased Gulf moisture from a monitored tropical disturbance has boosted precipitation probabilities to 50-70%, likely increasing cloud cover and limiting peak solar heating. This uncertainty in convective timing and intensity explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 86-89°F bins rather than higher ranges, as afternoon storms could suppress maxima below guidance. Updated NWS briefings and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on September 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 2?
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
20%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 32%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
79°F or below
$281 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$63 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$158 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$98 Обс.
20%
86-87°F
$120 Обс.
32%
88-89°F
$504 Обс.
27%
90-91°F
$559 Обс.
20%
92-93°F
$58 Обс.
5%
94-95°F
$27 Обс.
3%
96-97°F
$65 Обс.
2%
98°F or higher
$111 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Houston on September 2 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F under humid conditions. Increased Gulf moisture from a monitored tropical disturbance has boosted precipitation probabilities to 50-70%, likely increasing cloud cover and limiting peak solar heating. This uncertainty in convective timing and intensity explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 86-89°F bins rather than higher ranges, as afternoon storms could suppress maxima below guidance. Updated NWS briefings and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,045Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Houston on September 2 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F under humid conditions. Increased Gulf moisture from a monitored tropical disturbance has boosted precipitation probabilities to 50-70%, likely increasing cloud cover and limiting peak solar heating. This uncertainty in convective timing and intensity explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 86-89°F bins rather than higher ranges, as afternoon storms could suppress maxima below guidance. Updated NWS briefings and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,045Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Houston on September 2 point to daytime highs in the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F under humid conditions. Increased Gulf moisture from a monitored tropical disturbance has boosted precipitation probabilities to 50-70%, likely increasing cloud cover and limiting peak solar heating. This uncertainty in convective timing and intensity explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 86-89°F bins rather than higher ranges, as afternoon storms could suppress maxima below guidance. Updated NWS briefings and local radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine these resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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