Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPrecipitation in NYC in September?
Precipitation in NYC in September?
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
23%
4-5"
20%
5-6"
14%
>6"
22%
3-4" 23%
>6" 22%
4-5" 20%
2-3" 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
<2"
$441 Обс.
8%
2-3"
$0 Обс.
19%
3-4"
$50 Обс.
23%
4-5"
$0 Обс.
20%
5-6"
$20 Обс.
14%
>6"
$60 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Обсяг
$571Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$571Дата завершення
Oct 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 3–6 inches for September 2026 NYC precipitation reflects substantial forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Long-range outlooks from the National Weather Service and Old Farmer’s Almanac point to a warmer early month with below-average rainfall potential across the Northeast, linked to a strengthening El Niño pattern that often suppresses Atlantic tropical activity and favors drier steering flows. However, September remains the peak of hurricane season, when remnants of tropical systems or enhanced moisture transport can produce extreme convective events capable of pushing totals above 6 inches. Historical Central Park data show high interannual variability around the 4.3-inch climatological mean, with model spread in jet-stream position and moisture convergence keeping probabilities clustered near the middle bins while allowing meaningful tail risk for both drier and wetter outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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