SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77–2 trillion market cap sets the current benchmark for the largest 2026 debut, driving its 55.5% implied probability amid record proceeds of roughly $75 billion. Anthropic's 43.5% odds reflect its pending October listing, supported by a May $965 billion post-money private valuation, $65 billion Series H raise, and 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support a $2 trillion target. xAI's 25.5% share stems from its February merger into SpaceX, consolidating its contribution into the earlier listing. Other candidates remain near 0% due to smaller valuations and delayed timelines. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's final S-1 pricing and any revisions to its enterprise value-to-revenue multiples ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНайбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
Найбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
SpaceX 56%
Anthropic 43.5%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,430,641 Обс.
$5,430,641 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
56%
Anthropic
44%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 56%
Anthropic 43.5%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,430,641 Обс.
$5,430,641 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$747,112 Обс.
56%
Anthropic
$787,146 Обс.
44%
OpenAI
$477,743 Обс.
<1%
Discord
$176,728 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,392 Обс.
<1%
Stripe
$129,177 Обс.
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 Обс.
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 Обс.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Обс.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Обс.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Обс.
<1%
Databricks
$613,055 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77–2 trillion market cap sets the current benchmark for the largest 2026 debut, driving its 55.5% implied probability amid record proceeds of roughly $75 billion. Anthropic's 43.5% odds reflect its pending October listing, supported by a May $965 billion post-money private valuation, $65 billion Series H raise, and 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support a $2 trillion target. xAI's 25.5% share stems from its February merger into SpaceX, consolidating its contribution into the earlier listing. Other candidates remain near 0% due to smaller valuations and delayed timelines. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's final S-1 pricing and any revisions to its enterprise value-to-revenue multiples ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,430,641Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77–2 trillion market cap sets the current benchmark for the largest 2026 debut, driving its 55.5% implied probability amid record proceeds of roughly $75 billion. Anthropic's 43.5% odds reflect its pending October listing, supported by a May $965 billion post-money private valuation, $65 billion Series H raise, and 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support a $2 trillion target. xAI's 25.5% share stems from its February merger into SpaceX, consolidating its contribution into the earlier listing. Other candidates remain near 0% due to smaller valuations and delayed timelines. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's final S-1 pricing and any revisions to its enterprise value-to-revenue multiples ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$5,430,641Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77–2 trillion market cap sets the current benchmark for the largest 2026 debut, driving its 55.5% implied probability amid record proceeds of roughly $75 billion. Anthropic's 43.5% odds reflect its pending October listing, supported by a May $965 billion post-money private valuation, $65 billion Series H raise, and 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion that could support a $2 trillion target. xAI's 25.5% share stems from its February merger into SpaceX, consolidating its contribution into the earlier listing. Other candidates remain near 0% due to smaller valuations and delayed timelines. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's final S-1 pricing and any revisions to its enterprise value-to-revenue multiples ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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