Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest-to-southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This places the market's leading 94-95°F bin (59% implied probability) and 96-97°F bin (23.5%) in line with model consensus and recent late-August observations of mid-to-upper 90s highs amid persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture. Above-normal temperatures reflect the seasonal heat dome, with heat indices exceeding 104°F, while limited convective cooling keeps extremes below 98°F probable. Updated model runs and any overnight low-pressure influences from the northern Gulf could refine afternoon maxima before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 31?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 31?
94-95°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
59%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
83°F or below
$1,138 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$168 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$286 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$75 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$472 Обс.
3%
92-93°F
$928 Обс.
12%
94-95°F
$1,240 Обс.
59%
96-97°F
$2,162 Обс.
24%
98-99°F
$360 Обс.
4%
100-101°F
$234 Обс.
1%
102°F or higher
$226 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest-to-southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This places the market's leading 94-95°F bin (59% implied probability) and 96-97°F bin (23.5%) in line with model consensus and recent late-August observations of mid-to-upper 90s highs amid persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture. Above-normal temperatures reflect the seasonal heat dome, with heat indices exceeding 104°F, while limited convective cooling keeps extremes below 98°F probable. Updated model runs and any overnight low-pressure influences from the northern Gulf could refine afternoon maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,289Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest-to-southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This places the market's leading 94-95°F bin (59% implied probability) and 96-97°F bin (23.5%) in line with model consensus and recent late-August observations of mid-to-upper 90s highs amid persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture. Above-normal temperatures reflect the seasonal heat dome, with heat indices exceeding 104°F, while limited convective cooling keeps extremes below 98°F probable. Updated model runs and any overnight low-pressure influences from the northern Gulf could refine afternoon maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,289Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southwest-to-southeast winds and only a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This places the market's leading 94-95°F bin (59% implied probability) and 96-97°F bin (23.5%) in line with model consensus and recent late-August observations of mid-to-upper 90s highs amid persistent high pressure and elevated Gulf moisture. Above-normal temperatures reflect the seasonal heat dome, with heat indices exceeding 104°F, while limited convective cooling keeps extremes below 98°F probable. Updated model runs and any overnight low-pressure influences from the northern Gulf could refine afternoon maxima before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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