**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 31, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 102°F under south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns closely with the market's leading 100–101°F bin (60.5% implied probability), as multiple model runs and point forecasts from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth converge on 100–102°F, with some sources listing 100°F or 101°F. Persistent summer heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, has kept recent daily highs in the 101–103°F range, supporting the secondary 98–99°F outcome (27.5%). **Key variables include minor forecast adjustments from overnight model updates and exact measurement site (e.g., DFW Airport versus downtown stations), which can produce 1–2°F differences.** No precipitation is expected, and heat indices will exceed 100°F due to dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Historical August 31 averages near 94°F highlight the current anomalous warmth, though 2026 summer peaks have reached 108–109°F earlier. Traders appear to weigh the strong forecast consensus while allowing limited room for slight cooling or measurement variance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 31?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 31?
100-101°F 59%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
59%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 59%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
$197 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$85 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$150 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$456 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$365 Обс.
4%
98-99°F
$1,463 Обс.
29%
100-101°F
$5,712 Обс.
59%
102-103°F
$348 Обс.
10%
104-105°F
$162 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$174 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$275 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 31, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 102°F under south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns closely with the market's leading 100–101°F bin (60.5% implied probability), as multiple model runs and point forecasts from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth converge on 100–102°F, with some sources listing 100°F or 101°F. Persistent summer heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, has kept recent daily highs in the 101–103°F range, supporting the secondary 98–99°F outcome (27.5%).
**Key variables include minor forecast adjustments from overnight model updates and exact measurement site (e.g., DFW Airport versus downtown stations), which can produce 1–2°F differences.** No precipitation is expected, and heat indices will exceed 100°F due to dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Historical August 31 averages near 94°F highlight the current anomalous warmth, though 2026 summer peaks have reached 108–109°F earlier. Traders appear to weigh the strong forecast consensus while allowing limited room for slight cooling or measurement variance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,386Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 31, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 102°F under south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns closely with the market's leading 100–101°F bin (60.5% implied probability), as multiple model runs and point forecasts from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth converge on 100–102°F, with some sources listing 100°F or 101°F. Persistent summer heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, has kept recent daily highs in the 101–103°F range, supporting the secondary 98–99°F outcome (27.5%).
**Key variables include minor forecast adjustments from overnight model updates and exact measurement site (e.g., DFW Airport versus downtown stations), which can produce 1–2°F differences.** No precipitation is expected, and heat indices will exceed 100°F due to dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Historical August 31 averages near 94°F highlight the current anomalous warmth, though 2026 summer peaks have reached 108–109°F earlier. Traders appear to weigh the strong forecast consensus while allowing limited room for slight cooling or measurement variance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,386Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 31, 2026, call for sunny, hot conditions with a high near 102°F under south to southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover.** This aligns closely with the market's leading 100–101°F bin (60.5% implied probability), as multiple model runs and point forecasts from NWS Dallas/Fort Worth converge on 100–102°F, with some sources listing 100°F or 101°F. Persistent summer heat across North Texas, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and southerly flow, has kept recent daily highs in the 101–103°F range, supporting the secondary 98–99°F outcome (27.5%). **Key variables include minor forecast adjustments from overnight model updates and exact measurement site (e.g., DFW Airport versus downtown stations), which can produce 1–2°F differences.** No precipitation is expected, and heat indices will exceed 100°F due to dew points in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Historical August 31 averages near 94°F highlight the current anomalous warmth, though 2026 summer peaks have reached 108–109°F earlier. Traders appear to weigh the strong forecast consensus while allowing limited room for slight cooling or measurement variance before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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