Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 49%
36°C 29%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
11%
36°C
29%
37°C
49%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
4%
37°C 49%
36°C 29%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$226 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$222 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$119 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$183 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$181 Обс.
2%
34°C
$226 Обс.
4%
35°C
$288 Обс.
11%
36°C
$1,270 Обс.
29%
37°C
$1,175 Обс.
49%
38°C
$245 Обс.
11%
39°C or higher
$257 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,390Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,390Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a warming trend under partly cloudy or clear skies on August 6, with official and ensemble models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting daytime highs of 34–36°C amid typical subtropical summer humidity and light winds. This supports the market's leading 37°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability, as urban heat island effects and potential model runs showing peak heating under reduced cloud cover could push readings higher than the 33°C August average. Lower probabilities for 35°C or below reflect consensus on modest intensification risks, while 38°C+ remains a lower-probability tail given current steering patterns and no strong heat dome signals. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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