Trader consensus in the Chongqing highest-temperature market centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest afternoon heating amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima limited by high humidity near 70–85 percent, light variable winds, and precipitation probabilities of 20–70 percent that reduce solar insolation. September climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–29°C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, rain-suppressed conditions observed in mid-month analogs. Minor model spread around peak timing and intensity keeps 24°C and 27°C viable, while sub-23°C or 28°C-plus scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and observational data through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
26°C 32%
25°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
$15,246 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,246 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
23°C or below
10%
24°C
15%
25°C
31%
26°C
32%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
$15,246 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,246 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
23°C or below
$2,819 Обс.
10%
24°C
$1,184 Обс.
15%
25°C
$1,414 Обс.
31%
26°C
$1,647 Обс.
32%
27°C
$784 Обс.
12%
28°C
$916 Обс.
2%
29°C
$1,729 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,283 Обс.
1%
31°C
$2,819 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$501 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$153 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chongqing highest-temperature market centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest afternoon heating amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima limited by high humidity near 70–85 percent, light variable winds, and precipitation probabilities of 20–70 percent that reduce solar insolation. September climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–29°C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, rain-suppressed conditions observed in mid-month analogs. Minor model spread around peak timing and intensity keeps 24°C and 27°C viable, while sub-23°C or 28°C-plus scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and observational data through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,246Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chongqing highest-temperature market centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest afternoon heating amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima limited by high humidity near 70–85 percent, light variable winds, and precipitation probabilities of 20–70 percent that reduce solar insolation. September climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–29°C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, rain-suppressed conditions observed in mid-month analogs. Minor model spread around peak timing and intensity keeps 24°C and 27°C viable, while sub-23°C or 28°C-plus scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and observational data through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,246Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Chongqing highest-temperature market centers on 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting model agreement on modest afternoon heating amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates daytime maxima limited by high humidity near 70–85 percent, light variable winds, and precipitation probabilities of 20–70 percent that reduce solar insolation. September climatology for the region shows typical highs of 26–29°C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, rain-suppressed conditions observed in mid-month analogs. Minor model spread around peak timing and intensity keeps 24°C and 27°C viable, while sub-23°C or 28°C-plus scenarios remain low-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and observational data through the afternoon will refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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