**Forecast models and official guidance position Denver's September 13 high temperature in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's concentration on 92–95°F outcomes.** The National Weather Service Denver/Boulder office forecasts a high near 92°F under initially sunny conditions that turn partly cloudy with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance, while local outlets such as Denver7 project 93°F and hourly NWS data show a peak near 93°F. These values sit well above the late-September climatological average of 80°F but remain below the 96°F record set in 2018. Strong late-summer insolation, light southeasterly winds, and low dew points support efficient daytime heating, though increasing cloud cover and any convective activity could cap the extreme. Traders appear to weigh the upper end of model guidance and historical precedent for a brief warm surge, producing the observed 48% implied probability on 94–95°F and 37.5% on 92–93°F. Updated NWS discussions or real-time observations near peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on September 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 13?
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 8%
88-89°F 5.3%
$11,099 Обс.
$11,099 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
48%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 40%
90-91°F 8%
88-89°F 5.3%
$11,099 Обс.
$11,099 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
83°F or below
$173 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,011 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$536 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$303 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$1,180 Обс.
8%
92-93°F
$1,894 Обс.
40%
94-95°F
$3,458 Обс.
48%
96-97°F
$1,365 Обс.
4%
98-99°F
$285 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$66 Обс.
<1%
102°F or higher
$829 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance position Denver's September 13 high temperature in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's concentration on 92–95°F outcomes.** The National Weather Service Denver/Boulder office forecasts a high near 92°F under initially sunny conditions that turn partly cloudy with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance, while local outlets such as Denver7 project 93°F and hourly NWS data show a peak near 93°F. These values sit well above the late-September climatological average of 80°F but remain below the 96°F record set in 2018.
Strong late-summer insolation, light southeasterly winds, and low dew points support efficient daytime heating, though increasing cloud cover and any convective activity could cap the extreme. Traders appear to weigh the upper end of model guidance and historical precedent for a brief warm surge, producing the observed 48% implied probability on 94–95°F and 37.5% on 92–93°F. Updated NWS discussions or real-time observations near peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,099Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance position Denver's September 13 high temperature in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's concentration on 92–95°F outcomes.** The National Weather Service Denver/Boulder office forecasts a high near 92°F under initially sunny conditions that turn partly cloudy with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance, while local outlets such as Denver7 project 93°F and hourly NWS data show a peak near 93°F. These values sit well above the late-September climatological average of 80°F but remain below the 96°F record set in 2018.
Strong late-summer insolation, light southeasterly winds, and low dew points support efficient daytime heating, though increasing cloud cover and any convective activity could cap the extreme. Traders appear to weigh the upper end of model guidance and historical precedent for a brief warm surge, producing the observed 48% implied probability on 94–95°F and 37.5% on 92–93°F. Updated NWS discussions or real-time observations near peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,099Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance position Denver's September 13 high temperature in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market's concentration on 92–95°F outcomes.** The National Weather Service Denver/Boulder office forecasts a high near 92°F under initially sunny conditions that turn partly cloudy with a 30% afternoon thunderstorm chance, while local outlets such as Denver7 project 93°F and hourly NWS data show a peak near 93°F. These values sit well above the late-September climatological average of 80°F but remain below the 96°F record set in 2018. Strong late-summer insolation, light southeasterly winds, and low dew points support efficient daytime heating, though increasing cloud cover and any convective activity could cap the extreme. Traders appear to weigh the upper end of model guidance and historical precedent for a brief warm surge, producing the observed 48% implied probability on 94–95°F and 37.5% on 92–93°F. Updated NWS discussions or real-time observations near peak heating will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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