National Weather Service forecast models point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 14, underpinning the 53.5% implied probability for 74-75°F and 39.5% for 76-77°F. This range reflects the early autumn transition, when moderating Atlantic sea surface temperatures and a weakening subtropical ridge limit daytime heating while weak southerly flow prevents significant cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with low spread, consistent with climatological norms near 75°F for mid-September. Any adjustment would hinge on the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary or shifts in the jet stream position over the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14?
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 5%
78-79°F 4%
НОВЕ
$21,747 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,747 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
55%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 55%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 5%
78-79°F 4%
НОВЕ
$21,747 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,747 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
65°F or below
$246 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$228 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$418 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$651 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$1,604 Обс.
5%
74-75°F
$6,531 Обс.
55%
76-77°F
$5,183 Обс.
40%
78-79°F
$4,151 Обс.
4%
80-81°F
$914 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$1,582 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$238 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 14, underpinning the 53.5% implied probability for 74-75°F and 39.5% for 76-77°F. This range reflects the early autumn transition, when moderating Atlantic sea surface temperatures and a weakening subtropical ridge limit daytime heating while weak southerly flow prevents significant cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with low spread, consistent with climatological norms near 75°F for mid-September. Any adjustment would hinge on the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary or shifts in the jet stream position over the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,747Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast models point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 14, underpinning the 53.5% implied probability for 74-75°F and 39.5% for 76-77°F. This range reflects the early autumn transition, when moderating Atlantic sea surface temperatures and a weakening subtropical ridge limit daytime heating while weak southerly flow prevents significant cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with low spread, consistent with climatological norms near 75°F for mid-September. Any adjustment would hinge on the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary or shifts in the jet stream position over the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,747Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City on September 14, underpinning the 53.5% implied probability for 74-75°F and 39.5% for 76-77°F. This range reflects the early autumn transition, when moderating Atlantic sea surface temperatures and a weakening subtropical ridge limit daytime heating while weak southerly flow prevents significant cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with low spread, consistent with climatological norms near 75°F for mid-September. Any adjustment would hinge on the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary or shifts in the jet stream position over the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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