Persistent southerly flow and a strong subtropical ridge maintain a warm, humid airmass over Houston, with dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling expected. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a Tuesday night low of 79–81°F for September 15, consistent with recent climatology showing mid-September minima averaging 72–75°F but currently elevated by 5–8°F due to the lack of frontal passages. Light southeast winds of 5–10 mph and mostly clear skies further limit temperature drops, while afternoon heating to 94°F sustains high heat indices. The closely matched 45% market-implied odds on the extreme tails (≤71°F or ≥90°F) reflect residual model spread and timing uncertainty around any weak disturbances, yet the primary scientific driver remains the entrenched warm pattern that favors resolution in the 78–81°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 15?
71°F or below 90%
90°F or higher 89%
78-79°F 49%
72-73°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
90%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
89%
71°F or below 90%
90°F or higher 89%
78-79°F 49%
72-73°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Обс.
90%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
22%
78-79°F
$15 Обс.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
39%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
39%
90°F or higher
$0 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong subtropical ridge maintain a warm, humid airmass over Houston, with dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling expected. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a Tuesday night low of 79–81°F for September 15, consistent with recent climatology showing mid-September minima averaging 72–75°F but currently elevated by 5–8°F due to the lack of frontal passages. Light southeast winds of 5–10 mph and mostly clear skies further limit temperature drops, while afternoon heating to 94°F sustains high heat indices. The closely matched 45% market-implied odds on the extreme tails (≤71°F or ≥90°F) reflect residual model spread and timing uncertainty around any weak disturbances, yet the primary scientific driver remains the entrenched warm pattern that favors resolution in the 78–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a strong subtropical ridge maintain a warm, humid airmass over Houston, with dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling expected. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a Tuesday night low of 79–81°F for September 15, consistent with recent climatology showing mid-September minima averaging 72–75°F but currently elevated by 5–8°F due to the lack of frontal passages. Light southeast winds of 5–10 mph and mostly clear skies further limit temperature drops, while afternoon heating to 94°F sustains high heat indices. The closely matched 45% market-implied odds on the extreme tails (≤71°F or ≥90°F) reflect residual model spread and timing uncertainty around any weak disturbances, yet the primary scientific driver remains the entrenched warm pattern that favors resolution in the 78–81°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a strong subtropical ridge maintain a warm, humid airmass over Houston, with dew points near 78°F and minimal overnight radiational cooling expected. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus project a Tuesday night low of 79–81°F for September 15, consistent with recent climatology showing mid-September minima averaging 72–75°F but currently elevated by 5–8°F due to the lack of frontal passages. Light southeast winds of 5–10 mph and mostly clear skies further limit temperature drops, while afternoon heating to 94°F sustains high heat indices. The closely matched 45% market-implied odds on the extreme tails (≤71°F or ≥90°F) reflect residual model spread and timing uncertainty around any weak disturbances, yet the primary scientific driver remains the entrenched warm pattern that favors resolution in the 78–81°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання