Current forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C at 66.5% implied probability. Mild spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, typical of mid-September climatology near the seasonal average high of 13–14°C, support this range, with limited model spread reducing upside risk to 17°C or higher. Stable pressure patterns and absence of strong southerly advection have kept recent model runs consistent, sustaining trader consensus around the 15–16°C outcomes while downweighting cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide final resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
$15,370 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,370 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
66%
17°C
11%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 11%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
$15,370 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,370 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$573 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$573 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$79 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$64 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,308 Обс.
5%
15°C
$2,081 Обс.
20%
16°C
$7,376 Обс.
66%
17°C
$1,708 Обс.
11%
18°C
$875 Обс.
1%
19°C or higher
$350 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C at 66.5% implied probability. Mild spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, typical of mid-September climatology near the seasonal average high of 13–14°C, support this range, with limited model spread reducing upside risk to 17°C or higher. Stable pressure patterns and absence of strong southerly advection have kept recent model runs consistent, sustaining trader consensus around the 15–16°C outcomes while downweighting cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,370Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C at 66.5% implied probability. Mild spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, typical of mid-September climatology near the seasonal average high of 13–14°C, support this range, with limited model spread reducing upside risk to 17°C or higher. Stable pressure patterns and absence of strong southerly advection have kept recent model runs consistent, sustaining trader consensus around the 15–16°C outcomes while downweighting cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,370Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 16°C at 66.5% implied probability. Mild spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, typical of mid-September climatology near the seasonal average high of 13–14°C, support this range, with limited model spread reducing upside risk to 17°C or higher. Stable pressure patterns and absence of strong southerly advection have kept recent model runs consistent, sustaining trader consensus around the 15–16°C outcomes while downweighting cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide final resolution inputs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання