Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 3 m/s, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows daytime highs around 27°C giving way to nighttime lows of 20–21°C amid a 30–40% chance of light rain, consistent with early autumn patterns where subtropical moisture moderates temperature swings. This aligns with the market’s strong 75% implied probability on 21°C, while lower outcomes gain modest support from potential model shifts toward increased precipitation. Updated runs and observational data through the evening of September 13 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
21°C 93%
16°C or below 53%
18°C 53%
17°C 48%
16°C or below
53%
17°C
48%
18°C
53%
19°C
24%
20°C
31%
21°C
74%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 93%
16°C or below 53%
18°C 53%
17°C 48%
16°C or below
53%
17°C
48%
18°C
53%
19°C
24%
20°C
31%
21°C
74%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds under 3 m/s, and high humidity near 80% that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows daytime highs around 27°C giving way to nighttime lows of 20–21°C amid a 30–40% chance of light rain, consistent with early autumn patterns where subtropical moisture moderates temperature swings. This aligns with the market’s strong 75% implied probability on 21°C, while lower outcomes gain modest support from potential model shifts toward increased precipitation. Updated runs and observational data through the evening of September 13 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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