Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts a peak temperature near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 13, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow, marine-layer moderation, and upwelling-cooled Pacific waters that suppress inland heat advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 70.8°F after a brief early-September heat spike that reached 94°F on the 9th before rapid cooling. Clear skies and breezy northwest winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping the daily maximum below typical heat-wave thresholds while reducing chances of exceeding 72°F. Traders have priced the 70–71°F bin highest as the most probable outcome under these stable synoptic conditions, with new hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments likely to refine resolution by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 13?
70-71°F 51%
68-69°F 38%
72-73°F 5%
66-67°F 3%
НОВЕ
$10,116 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,116 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
51%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 51%
68-69°F 38%
72-73°F 5%
66-67°F 3%
НОВЕ
$10,116 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,116 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
61°F or below
$356 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$125 Обс.
<1%
64-65°F
$75 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$355 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$2,197 Обс.
38%
70-71°F
$4,093 Обс.
51%
72-73°F
$1,472 Обс.
5%
74-75°F
$277 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$236 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$1,312 Обс.
<1%
80°F or higher
$141 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts a peak temperature near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 13, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow, marine-layer moderation, and upwelling-cooled Pacific waters that suppress inland heat advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 70.8°F after a brief early-September heat spike that reached 94°F on the 9th before rapid cooling. Clear skies and breezy northwest winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping the daily maximum below typical heat-wave thresholds while reducing chances of exceeding 72°F. Traders have priced the 70–71°F bin highest as the most probable outcome under these stable synoptic conditions, with new hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments likely to refine resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,116Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts a peak temperature near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 13, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow, marine-layer moderation, and upwelling-cooled Pacific waters that suppress inland heat advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 70.8°F after a brief early-September heat spike that reached 94°F on the 9th before rapid cooling. Clear skies and breezy northwest winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping the daily maximum below typical heat-wave thresholds while reducing chances of exceeding 72°F. Traders have priced the 70–71°F bin highest as the most probable outcome under these stable synoptic conditions, with new hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments likely to refine resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,116Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts a peak temperature near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 13, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow, marine-layer moderation, and upwelling-cooled Pacific waters that suppress inland heat advection. This aligns with the climatological average high of 70.8°F after a brief early-September heat spike that reached 94°F on the 9th before rapid cooling. Clear skies and breezy northwest winds are expected to limit afternoon warming, keeping the daily maximum below typical heat-wave thresholds while reducing chances of exceeding 72°F. Traders have priced the 70–71°F bin highest as the most probable outcome under these stable synoptic conditions, with new hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments likely to refine resolution by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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