**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Обс.
$21,501 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Обс.
$21,501 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
$2,299 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$574 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$395 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$1,246 Обс.
No
96-97°F
$3,668 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$6,622 Обс.
Yes
100-101°F
$4,426 Обс.
No
102-103°F
$1,572 Обс.
No
104-105°F
$312 Обс.
No
106-107°F
$120 Обс.
No
108°F or higher
$267 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,501Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,501Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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