**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 30 lowest temperature centers on the 67°F-or-below bucket at 44% implied probability, well above other ranges clustered near 26%.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow from the Gulf have supported strong overnight radiative cooling, yet high humidity and urban heat retention limit how far temperatures drop. Official forecasts from NWS and models project a low in the mid- to upper 70s—near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.6°F—with no cold front or unusual synoptic shift arriving. Recent days show similar conditions and minimal diurnal range compression, keeping the probability of dipping to record or near-record lows (historical minimum 63°F) low despite the market weighting. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 30?
67°F or below 83%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
83%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 83%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
67°F or below
$28 Обс.
83%
68-69°F
$116 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$11 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$6 Обс.
26%
82-83°F
$152 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$103 Обс.
<1%
86°F or higher
$62 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 30 lowest temperature centers on the 67°F-or-below bucket at 44% implied probability, well above other ranges clustered near 26%.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow from the Gulf have supported strong overnight radiative cooling, yet high humidity and urban heat retention limit how far temperatures drop. Official forecasts from NWS and models project a low in the mid- to upper 70s—near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.6°F—with no cold front or unusual synoptic shift arriving. Recent days show similar conditions and minimal diurnal range compression, keeping the probability of dipping to record or near-record lows (historical minimum 63°F) low despite the market weighting. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$478Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 30 lowest temperature centers on the 67°F-or-below bucket at 44% implied probability, well above other ranges clustered near 26%.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow from the Gulf have supported strong overnight radiative cooling, yet high humidity and urban heat retention limit how far temperatures drop. Official forecasts from NWS and models project a low in the mid- to upper 70s—near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.6°F—with no cold front or unusual synoptic shift arriving. Recent days show similar conditions and minimal diurnal range compression, keeping the probability of dipping to record or near-record lows (historical minimum 63°F) low despite the market weighting. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$478Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Austin's August 30 lowest temperature centers on the 67°F-or-below bucket at 44% implied probability, well above other ranges clustered near 26%.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow from the Gulf have supported strong overnight radiative cooling, yet high humidity and urban heat retention limit how far temperatures drop. Official forecasts from NWS and models project a low in the mid- to upper 70s—near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 71.6°F—with no cold front or unusual synoptic shift arriving. Recent days show similar conditions and minimal diurnal range compression, keeping the probability of dipping to record or near-record lows (historical minimum 63°F) low despite the market weighting. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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