Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. This outcome reflects typical early-August conditions in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs average 30–32°C but can moderate with stable high-pressure systems that limit convective heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant moisture influx that would alter surface temperatures, keeping implied probabilities concentrated between 27°C and 29°C. Official agencies continue to monitor for any last-minute adjustments to the maximum reading before resolution.