California's 26th congressional district features an open seat following longtime Democratic incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement announcement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election, with Irwin securing a commanding plurality that aligns with the district's Democratic voter registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major Republican inroads in the Ventura County-based district. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant polling swings tied to national conditions, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility midterm environment, though historical base rates for similar California seats limit such volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$31,374 Обс.
$31,374 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$31,374 Обс.
$31,374 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,967 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$15,408 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district features an open seat following longtime Democratic incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement announcement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election, with Irwin securing a commanding plurality that aligns with the district's Democratic voter registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major Republican inroads in the Ventura County-based district. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant polling swings tied to national conditions, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility midterm environment, though historical base rates for similar California seats limit such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,374Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district features an open seat following longtime Democratic incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement announcement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election, with Irwin securing a commanding plurality that aligns with the district's Democratic voter registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major Republican inroads in the Ventura County-based district. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant polling swings tied to national conditions, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility midterm environment, though historical base rates for similar California seats limit such volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,374Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district features an open seat following longtime Democratic incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement announcement. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced Democrat Jacqui Irwin and Republican Sam Gallucci to the November general election, with Irwin securing a commanding plurality that aligns with the district's Democratic voter registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major Republican inroads in the Ventura County-based district. Potential shifts could stem from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant polling swings tied to national conditions, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility midterm environment, though historical base rates for similar California seats limit such volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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