Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 25?
9°C or below 69%
10°C 48%
18°C 42%
14°C 28%
9°C or below
69%
10°C
48%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
42%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 69%
10°C 48%
18°C 42%
14°C 28%
9°C or below
69%
10°C
48%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
42%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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