Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 1, favoring radiative cooling that could produce a daily minimum near 18–20 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.8 °C. Dry continental air and high pressure support this range, though model spread and minor cloud variations introduce uncertainty that traders have priced into the leading 16 °C-or-below outcome at 49.5 % implied probability. Historical analogs show September 1 minima can dip several degrees below average under similar synoptic setups, sustaining elevated probabilities for 17–18 °C results while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
16°C or below 47%
17°C 30%
18°C 28%
19°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
47%
17°C
30%
18°C
28%
19°C
18%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 47%
17°C 30%
18°C 28%
19°C 18%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
17°C
$0 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$10 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 1, favoring radiative cooling that could produce a daily minimum near 18–20 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.8 °C. Dry continental air and high pressure support this range, though model spread and minor cloud variations introduce uncertainty that traders have priced into the leading 16 °C-or-below outcome at 49.5 % implied probability. Historical analogs show September 1 minima can dip several degrees below average under similar synoptic setups, sustaining elevated probabilities for 17–18 °C results while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 1, favoring radiative cooling that could produce a daily minimum near 18–20 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.8 °C. Dry continental air and high pressure support this range, though model spread and minor cloud variations introduce uncertainty that traders have priced into the leading 16 °C-or-below outcome at 49.5 % implied probability. Historical analogs show September 1 minima can dip several degrees below average under similar synoptic setups, sustaining elevated probabilities for 17–18 °C results while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 1, favoring radiative cooling that could produce a daily minimum near 18–20 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 17.8 °C. Dry continental air and high pressure support this range, though model spread and minor cloud variations introduce uncertainty that traders have priced into the leading 16 °C-or-below outcome at 49.5 % implied probability. Historical analogs show September 1 minima can dip several degrees below average under similar synoptic setups, sustaining elevated probabilities for 17–18 °C results while warmer outcomes remain low-probability given the current guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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