Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 31 will likely reach 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions in Spain's continental climate. Multiple runs show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though the urban heat island and residual daytime warmth limit extreme cooling. Historical August minima average near 18°C, and current consensus places the outcome near the lower end of the seasonal range without major model divergences. Traders have priced the 16°C-or-below bucket highest at 46% implied probability, reflecting the stable forecast signal and limited upside risk from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
16°C or below 46%
21°C 34%
17°C 27%
18°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
46%
17°C
27%
18°C
10%
19°C
9%
20°C
6%
21°C
34%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 46%
21°C 34%
17°C 27%
18°C 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$8 Vol.
46%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$28 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
34%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 31 will likely reach 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions in Spain's continental climate. Multiple runs show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though the urban heat island and residual daytime warmth limit extreme cooling. Historical August minima average near 18°C, and current consensus places the outcome near the lower end of the seasonal range without major model divergences. Traders have priced the 16°C-or-below bucket highest at 46% implied probability, reflecting the stable forecast signal and limited upside risk from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 31 will likely reach 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions in Spain's continental climate. Multiple runs show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though the urban heat island and residual daytime warmth limit extreme cooling. Historical August minima average near 18°C, and current consensus places the outcome near the lower end of the seasonal range without major model divergences. Traders have priced the 16°C-or-below bucket highest at 46% implied probability, reflecting the stable forecast signal and limited upside risk from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models indicate Madrid's overnight low on August 31 will likely reach 16–17°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driven by strong radiative cooling typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions in Spain's continental climate. Multiple runs show minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset, though the urban heat island and residual daytime warmth limit extreme cooling. Historical August minima average near 18°C, and current consensus places the outcome near the lower end of the seasonal range without major model divergences. Traders have priced the 16°C-or-below bucket highest at 46% implied probability, reflecting the stable forecast signal and limited upside risk from warmer advection. Updated model runs and official AEMET briefings ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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