**Official AEMET forecasts and real-time observations position a 32–34°C peak as the dominant outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on August 30.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure pattern have driven a modest temperature rebound from cooler conditions earlier in the weekend, with models converging on afternoon maxima near 32°C at central stations such as Retiro and 33–34°C in suburban areas like Alcalá de Henares. Historical August 30 averages hover around 30°C, so current readings reflect typical late-summer warmth without extreme heatwave amplification. Early-morning observations near 13–17°C and zero precipitation probability reinforce the expectation of steady daytime warming, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33°C while leaving limited room for 34°C or cooler deviations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 78%
34°C 15%
32°C 6%
35°C <1%
$18,039 Vol.
$18,039 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
78%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 78%
34°C 15%
32°C 6%
35°C <1%
$18,039 Vol.
$18,039 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
78%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official AEMET forecasts and real-time observations position a 32–34°C peak as the dominant outcome for Madrid’s highest temperature on August 30.** Clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure pattern have driven a modest temperature rebound from cooler conditions earlier in the weekend, with models converging on afternoon maxima near 32°C at central stations such as Retiro and 33–34°C in suburban areas like Alcalá de Henares. Historical August 30 averages hover around 30°C, so current readings reflect typical late-summer warmth without extreme heatwave amplification. Early-morning observations near 13–17°C and zero precipitation probability reinforce the expectation of steady daytime warming, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 33°C while leaving limited room for 34°C or cooler deviations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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