Persistent Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rainfall (50–100 mm in Metro Manila), and elevated humidity, limiting surface heating and suppressing daytime maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations indicate highs near 27–29°C, with model consensus favoring values at or below the August climatological average of ~30–31°C. The tight spread between 27°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized convective bursts that could briefly elevate readings, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-27°C outcomes align with the narrow range of expected diurnal temperature variation under these conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
28°C 48%
27°C 35%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
$20,305 Vol.
$20,305 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
32%
28°C
37%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 35%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
$20,305 Vol.
$20,305 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
32%
28°C
37%
29°C
17%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rainfall (50–100 mm in Metro Manila), and elevated humidity, limiting surface heating and suppressing daytime maxima. Official PAGASA guidance and recent observations indicate highs near 27–29°C, with model consensus favoring values at or below the August climatological average of ~30–31°C. The tight spread between 27°C and 28°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized convective bursts that could briefly elevate readings, while lower probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-27°C outcomes align with the narrow range of expected diurnal temperature variation under these conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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