Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, positioning 19 °C as the market leader at 44.1% implied probability. Strengthening westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing typical late-summer maxima, which historically average near 22–23 °C. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, aligns on a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with possible morning showers, concentrating trader sentiment on the narrow 18–20 °C range that accounts for over 88% of probability. Model consensus on these synoptic conditions leaves limited upside for warmer outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 18?
19°C 35.5%
18°C 29.3%
20°C 20%
21°C 8%
BAGO
$82,861 Vol.
BAGO
$82,861 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
29%
19°C
36%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35.5%
18°C 29.3%
20°C 20%
21°C 8%
BAGO
$82,861 Vol.
BAGO
$82,861 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$11,535 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$13,391 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,561 Vol.
8%
18°C
$6,244 Vol.
29%
19°C
$7,126 Vol.
36%
20°C
$5,403 Vol.
20%
21°C
$7,509 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5,676 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5,619 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,778 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$8,020 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, positioning 19 °C as the market leader at 44.1% implied probability. Strengthening westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing typical late-summer maxima, which historically average near 22–23 °C. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, aligns on a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with possible morning showers, concentrating trader sentiment on the narrow 18–20 °C range that accounts for over 88% of probability. Model consensus on these synoptic conditions leaves limited upside for warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$82,861Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, positioning 19 °C as the market leader at 44.1% implied probability. Strengthening westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing typical late-summer maxima, which historically average near 22–23 °C. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, aligns on a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with possible morning showers, concentrating trader sentiment on the narrow 18–20 °C range that accounts for over 88% of probability. Model consensus on these synoptic conditions leaves limited upside for warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,861Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, positioning 19 °C as the market leader at 44.1% implied probability. Strengthening westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers are limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing typical late-summer maxima, which historically average near 22–23 °C. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, aligns on a 19–20 °C high under mostly cloudy skies with possible morning showers, concentrating trader sentiment on the narrow 18–20 °C range that accounts for over 88% of probability. Model consensus on these synoptic conditions leaves limited upside for warmer outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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