Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and European models position a daytime high near 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on August 19, reflecting moderate late-summer solar insolation tempered by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited warm-air advection. These conditions align with climatological baselines for mid-August, where historical maxima average around 20–22°C but recent model runs show stable high pressure without significant heat buildup or instability. Trader consensus, with 19°C at 39.5% implied probability ahead of 18°C and 20°C, underscores tight model agreement and low likelihood of extremes as resolution approaches within the next 24 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 40%
18°C 24%
20°C 23%
17°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
24%
19°C
40%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 24%
20°C 23%
17°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
24%
19°C
40%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and European models position a daytime high near 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on August 19, reflecting moderate late-summer solar insolation tempered by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and limited warm-air advection. These conditions align with climatological baselines for mid-August, where historical maxima average around 20–22°C but recent model runs show stable high pressure without significant heat buildup or instability. Trader consensus, with 19°C at 39.5% implied probability ahead of 18°C and 20°C, underscores tight model agreement and low likelihood of extremes as resolution approaches within the next 24 hours.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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