Recent official forecasts from AEMET, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring light northeasterly flow and largely clear skies that maximize solar heating. This setup favors strong daytime warming on the central plateau, where August climatology already supports highs in the mid-30s °C; model consensus and limited cloud cover have lifted trader-implied odds for 39 °C to 61.5 % while keeping 38 °C and 40 °C as secondary outcomes. With resolution based on the official highest recorded temperature, any last-minute increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight forecast shift could narrow the range before tomorrow’s peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
39°C 64%
38°C 22%
40°C 14%
37°C 4%
BAGO
$29,867 Vol.
BAGO
$29,867 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
4%
38°C
22%
39°C
64%
40°C
14%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 64%
38°C 22%
40°C 14%
37°C 4%
BAGO
$29,867 Vol.
BAGO
$29,867 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,473 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,981 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$3,093 Vol.
4%
38°C
$6,580 Vol.
22%
39°C
$7,301 Vol.
64%
40°C
$4,758 Vol.
14%
41°C
$1,635 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring light northeasterly flow and largely clear skies that maximize solar heating. This setup favors strong daytime warming on the central plateau, where August climatology already supports highs in the mid-30s °C; model consensus and limited cloud cover have lifted trader-implied odds for 39 °C to 61.5 % while keeping 38 °C and 40 °C as secondary outcomes. With resolution based on the official highest recorded temperature, any last-minute increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight forecast shift could narrow the range before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$29,867Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring light northeasterly flow and largely clear skies that maximize solar heating. This setup favors strong daytime warming on the central plateau, where August climatology already supports highs in the mid-30s °C; model consensus and limited cloud cover have lifted trader-implied odds for 39 °C to 61.5 % while keeping 38 °C and 40 °C as secondary outcomes. With resolution based on the official highest recorded temperature, any last-minute increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight forecast shift could narrow the range before tomorrow’s peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,867Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather converge on a daytime maximum near 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18 under a persistent anticyclonic regime featuring light northeasterly flow and largely clear skies that maximize solar heating. This setup favors strong daytime warming on the central plateau, where August climatology already supports highs in the mid-30s °C; model consensus and limited cloud cover have lifted trader-implied odds for 39 °C to 61.5 % while keeping 38 °C and 40 °C as secondary outcomes. With resolution based on the official highest recorded temperature, any last-minute increase in boundary-layer moisture or slight forecast shift could narrow the range before tomorrow’s peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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