Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European numerical weather models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, modest southerly warm-air advection, and partly cloudy conditions that limit surface heating and convective mixing. These factors align with climatological August averages of 24–26°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (roughly 50% and 34%) to those exact outcomes, with lower odds on 25°C or below or 28°C+. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, keeping uncertainty narrow around the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Official station data from Paris-Le Bourget will resolve the market once the daily peak is verified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
26°C 50%
27°C 36%
25°C or below 12%
28°C 5%
$45,040 Vol.
$45,040 Vol.
25°C or below
12%
26°C
50%
27°C
36%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 36%
25°C or below 12%
28°C 5%
$45,040 Vol.
$45,040 Vol.
25°C or below
12%
26°C
50%
27°C
36%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European numerical weather models indicate a maximum of 26–27°C in Paris on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure, modest southerly warm-air advection, and partly cloudy conditions that limit surface heating and convective mixing. These factors align with climatological August averages of 24–26°C and explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (roughly 50% and 34%) to those exact outcomes, with lower odds on 25°C or below or 28°C+. Model consensus has held steady over the past 48 hours without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture, keeping uncertainty narrow around the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius. Official station data from Paris-Le Bourget will resolve the market once the daily peak is verified.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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