Paris weather models and observations for August 18, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and residual warmth from recent high-pressure dominance. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer or calmer nights, aligning with Météo-France and BBC guidance showing an expected low of 18 °C at representative stations such as Paris-Le Bourget. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 %) followed by 20 °C and 18 °C reflects trader consensus on this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 17 °C or below arising only if unexpected clear-sky intensification occurs before dawn. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the designated airport station, so any late-model adjustments or localized urban-heat effects could still shift the final reading within the current 18–20 °C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 18?
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 9%
17°C 5%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
27%
19°C
50%
20°C
32%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 70%
18°C 24%
20°C 9%
17°C 5%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
27%
19°C
50%
20°C
32%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paris weather models and observations for August 18, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 18–20 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and residual warmth from recent high-pressure dominance. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared with clearer or calmer nights, aligning with Météo-France and BBC guidance showing an expected low of 18 °C at representative stations such as Paris-Le Bourget. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (50 %) followed by 20 °C and 18 °C reflects trader consensus on this narrow forecast band, with lower probabilities for 17 °C or below arising only if unexpected clear-sky intensification occurs before dawn. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the designated airport station, so any late-model adjustments or localized urban-heat effects could still shift the final reading within the current 18–20 °C cluster.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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