Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster the maximum temperature in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18 under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 30–34°C, tightening market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of convective showers, and local Sichuan Basin topography that modulates solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates, recognizing that small shifts in cloud persistence or precipitation onset can swing the daily high by a degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 12%
26°C 8%
BAGO
$40,865 Vol.
BAGO
$40,865 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
33%
24°C
42%
25°C
12%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 33%
25°C 12%
26°C 8%
BAGO
$40,865 Vol.
BAGO
$40,865 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$630 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,246 Vol.
33%
24°C
$6,112 Vol.
42%
25°C
$2,136 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,980 Vol.
8%
27°C
$2,914 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,196 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,554 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster the maximum temperature in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18 under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 30–34°C, tightening market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of convective showers, and local Sichuan Basin topography that modulates solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates, recognizing that small shifts in cloud persistence or precipitation onset can swing the daily high by a degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$40,865Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster the maximum temperature in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18 under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 30–34°C, tightening market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of convective showers, and local Sichuan Basin topography that modulates solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates, recognizing that small shifts in cloud persistence or precipitation onset can swing the daily high by a degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,865Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster the maximum temperature in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18 under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies have suppressed daytime heating below typical late-August norms of 30–34°C, tightening market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, the exact timing of convective showers, and local Sichuan Basin topography that modulates solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates, recognizing that small shifts in cloud persistence or precipitation onset can swing the daily high by a degree.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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