Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 18?
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 32%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 18 point to a daily high near 25–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities as traders incorporate model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological services. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences moderated temperatures compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that typically caps afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 23–27°C amid variable moisture and weak steering winds, with no strong heat dome or anomalous subsidence evident. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster tightly around 25–26°C rather than extremes. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these readings before final market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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