Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Shenzhen's August 18 daytime maximum near 32–33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and weak steering patterns support isolated thunderstorms that can increase cloud cover and reduce peak heating, while clear intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate shows limited spread overall, yet the precise timing and coverage of convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
BAGO
$17,612 Vol.
BAGO
$17,612 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
37%
33°C
36%
34°C
13%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
BAGO
$17,612 Vol.
BAGO
$17,612 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,130 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,090 Vol.
4%
31°C
$4,121 Vol.
15%
32°C
$1,377 Vol.
37%
33°C
$772 Vol.
36%
34°C
$771 Vol.
13%
35°C
$1,338 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$1,880 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Shenzhen's August 18 daytime maximum near 32–33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and weak steering patterns support isolated thunderstorms that can increase cloud cover and reduce peak heating, while clear intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate shows limited spread overall, yet the precise timing and coverage of convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,612Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Shenzhen's August 18 daytime maximum near 32–33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and weak steering patterns support isolated thunderstorms that can increase cloud cover and reduce peak heating, while clear intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate shows limited spread overall, yet the precise timing and coverage of convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,612Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs place Shenzhen's August 18 daytime maximum near 32–33 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities on those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity and weak steering patterns support isolated thunderstorms that can increase cloud cover and reduce peak heating, while clear intervals allow temperatures to reach the upper end of the range. Model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate shows limited spread overall, yet the precise timing and coverage of convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the daily high by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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